Whale Activity · Polymarket

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Updated every 15 minutes·Live whale data from Polygon blockchain
📝Analyst Note

Iván Cepeda Castro is no rando backbencher; he’s the left’s standard‑bearer in Colombia for 2026. He’s a 63‑year‑old senator, sociologist/philosopher, long‑time human‑rights figure, and one of Gustavo Petro’s most loyal allies. The ruling Historic Pact coalition ran a primary to pick its presidential candidate and Cepeda crushed it, taking roughly 64% of the vote and more than a million ballots, far ahead of former health minister Carolina Corcho. That made him the official candidate of the governing left, explicitly pitched as the guy who will “defend Petro’s flags” and continue his peace‑and‑social‑justice agenda.... so we'll see!

Whale Consensus

NO

Smart money is leaning NO

Total Whale Volume

$32.5K

Across all whale trades

Whale Trades

4

Large positions tracked

Biggest Whale Trades

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Side
Size
Time
0x54CE…9f80YES$11,31941d ago
0x3E4a…5c76YES$8,8794d ago
0x42D1…d745YES$7,00013d ago

Recent Whale Activity

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Trade
Time
0x3E4a…5c76YES $8,8794d ago
0x42D1…d745YES $7,00013d ago
0x54CE…9f80YES $11,31941d ago
← Browse all markets with whale activity
Live Feed

Track Every Whale. Every Market.

Get the full live feed, whale consensus across all markets, and instant alerts on $100K+ trades — all in one dashboard.

View the live feed at predictionmarketwhales.com →
Newsletter

The #1 Prediction Market Newsletter

Weekly whale insights, market breakdowns, and smart money moves — delivered to your inbox.

Subscribe to Prediction Market Edge →
Course

Learn to Trade Like the Whales

The complete guide to Polymarket and Kalshi — strategy, risk management, and how to follow smart money.

Get the Course →