Whale Activity · Polymarket

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Updated every 15 minutes·Live whale data from Polygon blockchain
📝Analyst Note

Iván Cepeda Castro is no rando backbencher; he’s the left’s standard‑bearer in Colombia for 2026. He’s a 63‑year‑old senator, sociologist/philosopher, long‑time human‑rights figure, and one of Gustavo Petro’s most loyal allies. The ruling Historic Pact coalition ran a primary to pick its presidential candidate and Cepeda crushed it, taking roughly 64% of the vote and more than a million ballots, far ahead of former health minister Carolina Corcho. That made him the official candidate of the governing left, explicitly pitched as the guy who will “defend Petro’s flags” and continue his peace‑and‑social‑justice agenda.... so we'll see!

Whale Consensus

NO

Smart money is leaning NO

Total Whale Volume

$1.4M

Across all whale trades

Whale Trades

360

Large positions tracked

Biggest Whale Trades

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Side
Size
Time
0x8B4b…541BYES$42,21422d ago
0x44c1…Ebc1YES$36,54222d ago
0x479d…d469NO$31,79425d ago

Recent Whale Activity

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Trade
Time
0x4B2d…F0d4NO $7,56721d ago
0x4488…e319YES $1,61721d ago
0xfEf4…29bDYES $5,95121d ago
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