Whale Activity · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Updated every 15 minutes·Live whale data from Polygon blockchain
📝Analyst Note

Amazing Bitcoin. Bitcoin crossed and traded through the $90,000 level in early January 2026, with intraday prices reaching into the $90,800–$90,900 range after pulling back from a seven-day high near $94,700. The $90,000 threshold wasn't approached — it was cleared and exceeded by several thousand dollars. Any contract resolving on whether BTC touches $90,000 before December 31, 2026 is already Yes in economic terms, regardless of where the formal resolution process stands. The broader price ladder context is worth noting for traders still active in the BTC price markets. The $90,000 touch establishing a resolved Yes on that rung doesn't tell you much about where the higher targets — $100,000, $110,000, $150,000 — stand. Those remain live prediction market questions. The early-2026 rally demonstrated demand at the $90,000–$95,000 range but also showed selling pressure sufficient to pull BTC back from the high, which is the kind of resistance data that informs where the ladder goes from here. For the specific contract at issue: the threshold is cleared, the event has occurred, and the market should reflect that. If the YES side is trading at anything below certainty, the gap is a pure arbitrage on a price event that is documented across multiple sources and already in the historical record.

Whale Consensus

YES

Smart money is leaning YES

Total Whale Volume

$51.9K

Across all whale trades

Whale Trades

6

Large positions tracked

Biggest Whale Trades

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Side
Size
Time
0xF10A…A922YES$13,92669d ago
0x3eBa…849aYES$9,95721d ago
0xF10A…A922NO$8,36468d ago

Recent Whale Activity

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Trade
Time
0xf705…3Ca7NO $6,3012d ago
0x3eBa…849aYES $9,95721d ago
0x3eBa…849aYES $6,68625d ago
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