Whale Activity · Polymarket

Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Updated every 15 minutes·Live whale data from Polygon blockchain
📝Analyst Note

Hejazi is the kind of figure who makes regimes function and rarely appears in their official histories. As deputy chief of staff and head of security for the Supreme Leader's office, he operated at the center of Iran's most sensitive political-security decisions — the man who knew where everything was, who reported to whom, and how the apparatus actually worked beneath the formal structure. That's genuine proximity to power. It's also a completely different thing than holding power yourself. The reporting around him during the 2026 war is the most analytically revealing detail in his profile. Targeted in at least one Israeli strike. Reportedly exploring possible exit routes if the regime wobbles. That's not the behavioral signature of someone positioning for succession — it's the signature of someone managing personal survival risk while the institutional environment around him destabilizes. U.S. and allied sanctions for human rights abuses complete the picture. Hejazi is a security apparatus insider whose profile is defined by coercive function rather than political legitimacy. In a stable Islamic Republic, that role carries significant behind-the-scenes influence. In a succession crisis, it makes him a target rather than a candidate. The resolution criteria requires de facto governing authority — public-facing institutional control that other power centers recognize and defer to. Hejazi's entire career has been structured around the opposite: invisible influence serving someone else's authority. Bottom line: He's the kind of insider who determines outcomes without being one. The reports of exit route planning are the most bearish signal in his profile — watch whether he resurfaces publicly or disappears further from view.

Whale Consensus

NO

Smart money is leaning NO

Total Whale Volume

$151.0K

Across all whale trades

Whale Trades

22

Large positions tracked

Biggest Whale Trades

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Side
Size
Time
0x2A3b…51B4YES$9,24826d ago
0x2A3b…51B4NO$9,24826d ago
0x2A3b…51B4YES$7,27116d ago

Recent Whale Activity

Updates in real-time.

Wallet
Trade
Time
0x2A3b…51B4NO $6,13810d ago
0x2A3b…51B4YES $6,13810d ago
0x2A3b…51B4NO $7,07212d ago
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