US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

This market is asking for something much bigger than another ceasefire extension... A permanent end to US–Iran military hostilities, explicitly acknowledged by both sides, by June 7. Sounds like a tall order. Under the rules, only a deal that clearly says the war is over or that fighting will permanently cease qualifies, either in a signed text or through parallel, unambiguous public confirmations. Temporary arrangements like the April 7 two‑week ceasefire and the draft memoranda on the table are, by design, interim and conditional, and therefore not enough. Watch this one carefully!