This contract has resolved by announcement. Starmer declared his intention to resign on June 22, 2026, informed the King, and asked Labour's NEC to set a leadership contest timetable. Under the market's resolution criteria, the announcement alone triggers YES — the contract doesn't require him to have physically left Downing Street, only that he ceases to be PM or announces that he will. YES shares pay out. The analytical question has shifted entirely to the Labour leadership contest and what Andy Burnham's premiership means for UK political markets going forward.
Whale Consensus
YES
Smart money is leaning YES
Total Whale Volume
$38.5K
Across all whale trades
Whale Trades
12
Large positions tracked
Updates in real-time.
Updates in real-time.
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