Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

The Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act has cleared committee and passed one chamber, but a bill that's still moving through Congress isn't a bill that's law, and that distinction is the entire market. Reporting through mid-2026 consistently describes a bill in motion, not a completed process. The Senate Banking Committee advanced it, but coverage is explicit that it still needed to clear the full Senate and then the House before ever reaching the President's desk for signature. Later reporting in the summer described the legislation as still wobbling forward with a limited window remaining, language that reflects genuine uncertainty about timing rather than confirmation of passage. Multiple independent trackers explicitly stated the bill had not been signed into law as of their respective publication dates. The structural gap here is straightforward: passing one chamber, or even clearing committee, is a necessary step but not a sufficient one. U.S. legislation requires both the House and Senate to pass identical or reconciled text, followed by presidential signature, and any one of those stages can stall a bill indefinitely regardless of how much momentum it built earlier in the process. For this contract to resolve YES, all remaining stages need to complete within the calendar year, full Senate passage, House passage (or reconciliation of differing versions), and presidential signature, a multi-step sequence with real potential for delay at any point given how crypto-market legislation has historically moved through Congress at an uneven pace. The case for taking eventual passage seriously is that committee advancement signals real institutional momentum, and legislation that reaches this stage with an active administration push behind it does have a genuine, non-trivial path to completion within a defined window, even if that path isn't guaranteed. Passage would represent one of the most significant regulatory developments for the digital asset industry in years, providing long-sought market-structure clarity, while continued delay would extend the current regulatory ambiguity crypto markets have operated under. Bottom line: watch for full Senate floor votes and any House reconciliation activity specifically, not committee-level movement. A confirmed floor vote in both chambers would be the clearest signal toward YES; continued procedural delay without a scheduled floor vote keeps the contract anchored toward NO.